Western Emigration Reaches Record Levels

From London to Los Angeles to Toronto, a growing share of citizens in the world's wealthiest nations are packing up and moving abroad. The numbers, once a statistical footnote, have become large enough to register as a macroeconomic signal — and in some countries, a political crisis.

In the United Kingdom, 257,000 British nationals left the country in 2024, the highest calendar-year figure on record [1]. Net emigration of British citizens reached 109,000 in the year ending June 2025, meaning far more Brits departed than returned [2]. In the United States, expatriations jumped 102% in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the previous quarter, with citizenship renunciation requests up 48% in 2024 [3]. Canada saw more than 851,000 people — including permanent residents and non-permanent residents — leave in 2024, with early 2025 figures signaling even higher outflows [4].

These are not isolated data points. They represent a structural shift across the Western world that is accelerating in ways policymakers did not anticipate.

The Numbers: Country by Country

United States

The U.S. Census Bureau's Vintage 2025 population estimates show net international migration crashing from a 2024 peak of 2.7 million to 1.3 million in 2025 and a projected 321,000 in 2026 [5]. While much of that decline reflects reduced immigration, the outflow side is growing independently.

A Wall Street Journal analysis of 15 countries with partial or full 2025 data found that at least 180,000 Americans moved to them in a single year, with the actual number likely higher once complete figures are reported [3]. The State Department estimates that between 4 and 9 million Americans already live abroad, including 1.6 million in Mexico and over 1.5 million across Europe [3].

Before 2009, only hundreds of Americans renounced citizenship annually. That figure has grown to over 5,000 per year in recent years, peaking at approximately 6,700 in 2020. At the current Q1 2025 pace, experts project the total could reach 4,936 for the full year [3].

United Kingdom

The UK's Office for National Statistics revised its four-year British emigration totals upward dramatically — from 343,000 to 992,000 departures between 2020 and 2024, an increase of 649,000 over prior estimates [1]. Net British citizen migration shifted from a previously estimated loss of 17,000 to an actual loss of 368,000 over the same period [1].

Total UK emigration (all nationalities) reached 693,000 in the year ending June 2025, up 43,000 from the previous year [2]. British nationals who left were predominantly young: around three quarters (76%) of emigrants were aged under 35 [2].

Canada

Statistics Canada reported 27,086 Canadian citizens and permanent residents emigrated in Q1 2025 alone, a 3% increase from the prior year [4]. More striking, 209,400 non-permanent residents — many of them highly educated international students and temporary workers — left in the same period, a 54% increase from Q1 2024 [4].

Vancouver and Toronto, Canada's most expensive real estate markets, accounted for nearly half of all emigration in 2024 [4].

Germany

German citizen emigration to OECD countries reached 145,000 in 2023, with Switzerland (18%), Austria (14%), and Poland (13%) as the top destinations [6]. A more troubling signal emerged from a major survey finding that 26% of immigrants in Germany — approximately 2.6 million people — were considering leaving, with 300,000 having concrete plans to do so [7]. Those most likely to leave were the better educated, more economically successful, and more linguistically integrated [7].

Source: ONS / StatsJamie analysis

Data as of Mar 22, 2026CSV

Who Is Leaving: Demographics and Sectors

The emigration wave is not random. Across Western countries, three overlapping cohorts dominate the outflows.

Young professionals (25–34). In the UK, roughly 70% of British emigrants in the year ending March 2025 were estimated to be aged 16 to 34, moving primarily for career or lifestyle reasons [2]. Similarly, most Americans relocating are described as middle-income earners and dual citizens who already hold another nationality [3].

High-net-worth individuals. The Henley & Partners Private Wealth Migration Report projects that 142,000 millionaires will relocate across borders in 2025, the highest number ever recorded, climbing to an estimated 165,000 in 2026 [8]. The UK is forecast to lose a net 16,500 millionaires in 2025 — more than double the anticipated 7,800 net outflow from China [8]. For the first time, EU heavyweights France, Spain, and Germany are all projected to see net losses of high-net-worth individuals, with outflows of 800, 500, and 400 millionaires respectively [8].

These figures, while widely cited, have drawn methodological scrutiny. Analysts at Tax Policy Associates and elsewhere have questioned Henley's data sources and definitions, noting the firm has a commercial interest in selling investment migration services [9]. The directional trend, however, is corroborated by visa application data and wealth management industry reports.

Skilled immigrants who re-emigrate. Canada illustrates this pattern most sharply. While family and refugee retention rates remain steady at around 91% over 25 years, economic migrants depart at far higher rates — nearly 48% within the first seven years [4]. Many internationally trained professionals face lengthy, expensive credential recognition processes that delay their careers, causing them to seek countries that recognize their qualifications immediately [4].

Where They're Going

Western emigrants are not moving uniformly to other Western countries. An increasing share are relocating to emerging economies that offer lower costs, favorable tax regimes, or better quality of life.

Top destination regions include:

• Southern Europe: Portugal saw American residents increase by over 500% since the COVID pandemic, with a further 36% jump in 2024. Ireland issued 31,825 passports to Americans in 2024 and an estimated 40,000 in 2025 [3]. Greece has emerged as a favored destination for American expatriates [3].

• United Arab Emirates: The UAE retains its position as the world's leading wealth magnet, with a projected net inflow of 9,800 relocating millionaires in 2025, more than 2,000 above the United States in second place [8]. Zero income tax remains its primary draw.

• Southeast Asia: Malaysia and Thailand are attracting remote workers and professionals with Western-level infrastructure at substantially lower costs. Kuala Lumpur runs approximately 50% cheaper than London [10]. Thailand's digital nomad visas and effective tax rates around 15% for structured arrangements are pulling consultants, developers, and marketers in their 30s and 40s [11].

• Latin America: Mexico ranks first for expat happiness at 90% satisfaction, while Panama leads overall expat rankings at 94% satisfaction [12]. Colombia ranked second, with 81% of respondents satisfied with their financial situation and 36% planning to stay permanently [12].

• Other destinations: Montenegro, Malta, Costa Rica, and Georgia are growing rapidly as destinations for both wealthy migrants and remote professionals [8][11].

Source: Henley & Partners Private Wealth Migration Report 2025

Data as of Mar 22, 2026CSV

The Economics: Taxes, Housing, and Purchasing Power

The push factors behind Western emigration cluster around three economic pressures that have intensified simultaneously.

Tax burden. Top marginal income tax rates in the UK, Ireland, Canada, and Australia exceed 45–55%, with indirect taxes (VAT, GST, National Insurance) adding another 10–20% [11]. The UK's decision to close the non-domiciled tax regime and change inheritance tax rules has been directly linked to the acceleration in millionaire departures [8]. As one financial advisor quoted in industry reports put it, professionals increasingly feel they are "paying first-class taxes for economy-class outcomes" [11].

Housing costs. Portugal's house prices have doubled since 2018 [10]. In Lisbon, a surge of foreign digital nomads drove rents up 17% in 2023 alone, pushing average one-bedroom apartments to approximately €1,200 per month [10] — a price that ironically drove some Portuguese citizens to emigrate while attracting foreign arrivals. In Canada, Vancouver and Toronto's extreme housing costs directly correlate with the geographic concentration of emigration [4]. US mortgage rates remain above 6%, reaching 6.22% as of March 2026 [13].

Cost of living. The US Consumer Price Index has risen steadily, reaching 327.5 in February 2026, up from 312.3 a year earlier [13]. Across Europe, 93% of citizens report concern about rising living costs [10]. The gap between Western European costs (over €2,700/month) and Eastern European or Southeast Asian alternatives (€574/month or less) creates a powerful arbitrage for remote workers [10].

Fiscal impact. Research from the OECD finds that on average, the fiscal impact of migration is approximately zero across member countries [14]. But this average conceals significant variation by skill level. A Manhattan Institute analysis found that ending the H-1B visa program alone would expand US federal debt by $185 billion over 10 years [14]. When high earners leave and lower-skilled workers arrive, the fiscal math shifts — though the precise magnitude remains debated among economists.

The Skills Gap Question

The most politically charged dimension of Western emigration is whether departing citizens are being replaced by immigrants with comparable skills — and whether those immigrants are filling the same roles.

The evidence is mixed. In the UK, departing British and EU citizens are "being more than replaced by arrivals from outside the EU," but the composition differs [1]. Net migration fell to 204,000 by June 2025, below pre-COVID levels, with 90% of emigrants of working age [2]. The UK's Migration Advisory Committee has noted that immigration and emigration flows serve different labor market segments, with the overlap between departing skill sets and arriving skill sets remaining partial [15].

In Canada, the pattern is more clearly misaligned. While skilled economic migrants leave at high rates due to credential barriers and housing costs, immigration policy has increasingly favored temporary workers and international students who may not fill the same professional gaps [4].

Germany faces a paradox: it actively recruits skilled migrants through its 2024 Skilled Immigration Act, while simultaneously watching its most integrated and qualified immigrants consider departure. The 26% of immigrants contemplating leaving includes disproportionately those the country most needs to retain [7].

A 2025 study published in Science complicates the traditional "brain drain" framework, finding that high-skilled emigration can actually increase the stock of educated workers in origin countries through incentive effects — more people train for careers that offer international mobility [16]. But this "brain gain" mechanism primarily benefits developing countries with adequate training infrastructure, not Western nations losing established professionals to lower-tax jurisdictions [16].

Are Emigrants Better Off?

Survey data suggests that most Western emigrants report high satisfaction. The InterNations Expat Insider 2025 survey, covering 10,085 expats across 46 destinations, found strong satisfaction rates in top destinations: Panama (94%), Mexico (90%), and Colombia (81%) [12].

Over a third of expats in Panama plan to stay permanently, while in Colombia, 36% intend to remain indefinitely and another 47% have no plans to leave [12]. These figures suggest low return rates among those who establish themselves abroad, though comprehensive longitudinal data tracking emigrant outcomes over 5–10 years remains limited.

The financial picture is more nuanced. Emigrants to low-cost countries often report improved purchasing power and lifestyle, but those who retain US citizenship face continued tax obligations — the United States is one of only two countries that taxes citizens on worldwide income regardless of residence. The month-long backlog for citizenship renunciation appointments reflects the friction of this dual obligation [3].

What Happens Next

World Bank data shows that net migration to major Western countries, while still positive overall, is trending downward. The United States saw net migration of 1.29 million in 2024, down from 1.77 million in 2019 [17]. Germany's net migration collapsed from 982,000 in 2022 to just 37,000 in 2024 [17]. France's net migration has fallen from 179,000 in 2022 to 91,000 in 2024 [17].

Source: World Bank Open Data

Data as of Feb 24, 2026CSV

Some governments are responding. Germany's Skilled Immigration Act of 2024 introduced more flexible rules for recruiting third-country nationals [6]. The UK has tightened visa rules while losing record numbers of its own citizens. The US political environment under the current administration has combined aggressive immigration restriction with conditions that appear to be accelerating citizen departures [5].

The deeper question is whether Western emigration represents a temporary adjustment — professionals taking advantage of remote work flexibility and cost-of-living arbitrage — or a durable structural shift. The acceleration in citizenship renunciations and millionaire departures suggests that for a meaningful subset, the decision is permanent. For younger workers experimenting with life abroad, return rates may prove higher, but the data to confirm this does not yet exist.

What is clear from the available evidence is that the traditional assumption — that the world's wealthiest countries are net attractors of talent almost by definition — no longer holds as firmly as it once did. The competition for human capital now runs in both directions.