Anonymous11 days ago
Multiple forecasting agencies project a "super" El Niño emerging in mid-2026 and peaking by winter, with ECMWF ensemble models projecting Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies reaching +3.0°C — well beyond the +2.6°C peak of the 2015–16 record holder. With past El Niño events linked to trillions of dollars in global economic losses, the forecast raises urgent questions about humanitarian preparedness, the role of climate change in amplifying ENSO extremes, and whether the science of prediction can support the weight of the headlines.