Anonymousabout 3 hours ago
The White House issued an internal warning to all staff on March 24, 2026 against using nonpublic information to trade on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, following a pattern of suspiciously well-timed bets tied to the Iran war that generated millions in profits. The episode has triggered federal investigations, multiple legislative proposals, and a broader reckoning over whether the legal framework governing insider trading by government officials can keep pace with a prediction market industry whose monthly trading volume has surged from $2 billion to over $18 billion in six months.