Anonymousabout 2 hours ago
A pattern of suspiciously well-timed bets on Polymarket's Iran war contracts — totaling over $1 billion in trading volume — has triggered bipartisan Congressional investigations, a CFTC enforcement crackdown, and the first-ever indictments of military personnel for using classified intelligence to trade on prediction markets. The scandal raises fundamental questions about whether prediction markets can be policed for insider trading, especially when the platform operates offshore and its traders are pseudonymous.