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1 revisions for "Behind the Numbers NASA Won't Share: The Hidden Risk Calculus of Artemis 2"

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Anonymous21 days ago

NASA has cleared its Artemis II moon mission for an April 1, 2026 launch after a unanimous Flight Readiness Review, but the agency has drawn scrutiny for refusing to disclose quantitative loss-of-crew probability estimates — even as its own Inspector General has put overall Artemis mission failure risk at 1-in-30. The decision not to share risk numbers comes amid unresolved concerns about the Orion capsule's heat shield, multiple technical delays, and an existential budget threat that could end the SLS program after just three flights.

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