Revision History

An anonymous trader using the handle 'Magamyman' earned over $553,000 on Polymarket by betting that Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei would be removed from power, just before a joint U.S.-Israeli military strike killed him on February 28, 2026. The trade is part of a broader pattern of suspicious prediction market activity — including $529 million in Iran-related bets and six freshly created accounts that collectively won $1.2 million — that has triggered Congressional demands for regulation, accusations of insider trading on classified intelligence, and a fundamental reckoning over whether death and war should be tradeable commodities.